Nasa satellite UARS nearing Earth 'could land anywhere'

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Nasa satellite UARS nearing Earth 'could land anywhere'

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The "productive scientific life" of the UARS ended in 2005 when it ran out of fuel

A five tonne, 20-year-old satellite has fallen out of orbit and is expected to crash somewhere on Earth on or around 24 September, according to Nasa.

Nasa says the risk to life from the UARS - Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite - is just 1 in 3,200.
It could land anywhere between 57 degrees north and 57 degrees south of the equator - most of the populated world.

However, most of the satellite will break or burn up before reaching Earth.

Scientists have identified 26 separate pieces that could survive the fall through the earth's atmosphere, and debris could rain across an area 400-500km (250-310 miles) wide.

Nasa said scientists would only be able to make more accurate predictions about where the satellite might land two hours before it enters the Earth's atmosphere.

Re-entry
The 1 in 3,200 risk to public safety is higher than the 1 in 10,000 limit that Nasa aims for.

However, Nasa told reporters that nobody had ever been hurt by objects re-entering from space.

Members of the public are not allowed to keep pieces of the satellite that may fall to Earth, or sell them on eBay, as they remain the property of the US government.

The UARS was launched in 1991 by the Discovery space shuttle, and was decommissioned in 2005.

The latest satellite re-entry is much smaller than Skylab, which re-entered the earth's atmosphere in 1979.

It was some 15 times heavier than the UARS, and when it crashed in Western Australia the US government had to pay clean-up costs to the Australian government.

Sputnik 2 crashed on Earth in 1958, travelling from over New York to the Amazon in 10 minutes. It was viewed by many people and left a trail of brightly coloured sparks behind it.

Falling space debris

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  • Hardware re-enters at shallow angles (<1 degree)
  • Some 50 items weighing >1 tonne re-enter a year
  • Major break-up occurs about 80km altitude
  • 10-40% of dry mass on orbit will survive
  • Debris spreads over long, thin "footprints"
  • It can be a hazard to people and property
Article from: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-14952001
 
I heard about this on the radio. They said that when the satellite reaches the atmosphere, it will lose most of it's mass and will end up being around 150lbs. 150lbs is still very heavy and can kill someone in an instant.
 
I thought I heard someone say there would be a 2 hour warning of approximate impact locations.

Of course, that does nobody any good if you don't get the warning. :pat:
 
I heard the same Ken, but then later saw this -

" Will it hit someone? Not likely. NASA says there's a 1-in-3,200 chance that any pieces of the satellite will hit anyone. In fact, there's a good chance no one will see it when it falls — whenever and wherever that turns out to be. Even at the last message, T minus 2 hours, there will be a lot of uncertainty, plus or minus 10,000 kilometers."
That's over 6k miles
 
fall zone would be somewhere around 6,000 miles, or a quarter of the way around the planet.

sooo, it could hit hawaii, or ...oh no, it's heading for china now!
 
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